www.mrnussbaum.com - Probability Fair; Use your Probability Skills to Win Tickets at the Carnival Games

probability fair wheel

Welcome to Probability Fair. In this game, students will learn the practical application of the concept of probability by playing carnival games. The object is to win as many tickets as possible. Tickets can be won at the onset of the game by spinning the probability wheel. The probability wheel contains sixteen colored sections. To win five tickets to the fair, the user must select the probability that has the greatest likelihood. In the above example, P(yellow or red) is 7/16; P(blue or yellow) is 6/16 (3/8); P (green or blue) is 7/16; P(green or red) is 9/16. Hence, the student should choose P(green or red) because the wheel is MOST likely to land on either of those colors. Students can earn as many tickets as desired before entering the fair. There are five games at the fair, each of which cost different quantities of tickets and have different probabilities of the student winning.

You can spend your tickets to play Plinko. Simply drag the coin to the area on the top of the board that you wish to drop it. The coin will bounce around the bumpers before landing in one of the slots on the bottom.

Move the coin to one of the three colors (on the bottom of the board) before spinning the number board. If the number lands on a number with the same colors that you chose, you win! If you put your coin on the green space and a green number comes up, you win 35 tickets. If you put the coin on the correct number, you win double your tickets.

In the Shell Game, watch carefully to see where the ball is. If you select the correct shell, you win ten tickets. All other shells yield only one ticket.

Simply spin the ticket wheel to win tickets. Can you figure out what the probability is that you will win an amount larger than the cost?

In Duck Pluck, select the duck that you think will win the race. Each duck has a different ticket amount. If you select the winning duck, you win the amount. You can even change your duck mid-race. Be careful though, this game costs ten tickets just to play.